The answer layer
for high-stakes law.

See the case earlier. Decide faster. We forecast outcomes, timing, and exposure — then sign a Decision Book a GC, partner, or funder can act on.

Submit a matter
0 h
From open matter to signed Decision Book
0
Senior expert on every engagement
0
Research tracks run in parallel
0K+
Matters analyzed
Built by founders from
  • Harvard University
  • MIT
  • Stanford CodeX
  • JPMorgan
  • ETH Zurich
  • University of St. Gallen (HSG)
  • Kirkland & Ellis
What lands on your desk

The output isn't a report.
It's a Decision Book.

One signed artifact per matter — outcome, exposure, timing, recommendation, and the evidence behind each. Expert-grade litigation insight, cited and defensible. Built to be acted on — and defended in court.

VALAR/Lumen IP v. Northwind
Trade-secretS.D.N.Y.Confidence · High

Lumen IP Holdings v. Northwind Industries

1:25-CV-04218  ·  24-1184
Outcome distributionP50 · $42M
P50
$0$25M$50M$75M$100M+
Win probability
0%
Expected exposure
$0M
Time to resolve
0 mo
Reserve
$0M
Signed recommendation

Push for early summary judgment; settle > $48M.

Reviewer · J. Cole, Lead
Inside every Decision Book
01

Outcome

Probability with confidence interval. Modeled across jurisdiction, judge, opposing counsel, and comparable matters.

02

Exposure

Damages range and settlement bands. P10 / P50 / P90, with the legal logic behind each scenario.

03

Timing

Duration and key motion windows. When the matter resolves, what accelerates it, what slows it down.

04

Recommendation

Next move — settle or fight, take or pass. Signed by an expert. Defensible methodology. You can act on it.

Sample for illustrative purposes

This is what lands on your desk.

This is an excerpt — not the full Decision Book. Just the executive summary.

  • Executive summary preview 1
  • Executive summary preview 2
  • Executive summary preview 3
  • Executive summary preview 4
  • Executive summary preview 5
  • Executive summary preview 6
  • Executive summary preview 7
01 / 07
How a matter runs

Six research tracks.
One signed Decision Book.

Every matter runs through six specialized research tracks in parallel — fully cited, adversarially red-teamed, reviewed and signed by an expert before it leaves the building.

Track 01

Procedural analysis

Jurisdiction, time-bars, standing. Forum-shopping risk, removal vectors, and threshold motions modeled before the first hearing.

Track 02

Claims & defenses

Element-by-element claim mapping, rebuttal stacks, and analogous precedent across federal and state venues.

Track 03

Damages & recovery

P10 / P50 / P90 damages modeling, statutory caps, comparable verdicts, settlement bands, and reserve calibration.

Track 04

Evidence & proof

Admissibility scoring, evidentiary gaps, discovery priority lists, and chain-of-custody risk on key exhibits.

Track 05

Judge & venue

Bench tendencies, motion-grant rates, opposing-counsel history, and venue-specific timing profiles.

Track 06

Collectability

Asset traces, insurance layers, parent-subsidiary structures, and post-judgment recovery probabilities.

What we cover

From one matter
to the whole book.

Single matter

One case.
One Decision Book.

Pitches, intake, settle-or-fight.

On request
From $5K / matter
Practice group

A team's
active book.

Same methodology, weekly sessions.

Engagement
Custom rate
Portfolio

The whole book,
in view.

Aggregate EV, hot-matter alerts.

Engagement
Quarterly retainer

See the case earlier.
Build a stronger position.
Move with confidence.

Who it's for

One product.
Two sides of the matter.

Every litigation has a law firm and a client. Both buy Valar — for different reasons.

01 / Law firms

Litigation partners.

Replace the expert retainer on your next bet-the-firm matter.

Use it for
Pitches, intake, settle-or-fight
Format
One signed Decision Book per matter
Turnaround
48 hours
02 / Enterprises

General counsel.

Standardize how every matter in your docket is assessed.

Use it for
Reserve setting, outside counsel oversight
Format
Matter-level Decision Books + portfolio view
Turnaround
48 hours

One Decision Book. Two buyers. Shared truth.

What they've said

From the people who
put their name on it.

Litigation partners, in-house leaders, and lit-fin underwriters using Valar on live matters today.

What took us weeks and cost close to a million dollars was done in 48 hours — and held up under deposition. That's the bar.
Litigation partner
Am Law 200 firm
For the first time, I have a quantified view of our litigation exposure I can take to the board.
General counsel
Fortune 100
Our underwriting cycle dropped from weeks to days — with a defensible methodology behind every pick.
Managing director
$1B AUM litigation fund
Why Valar

Three promises.
No surprises.

Courtroom-grade work product. Delivered on a clock. Priced before you sign.

Quality

Guaranteed quality.

Every Decision Book is signed by a senior expert. We stand behind our work.

Speed

Speed you can rely on.

AI never sleeps. Valar never gets backlogged.

Pricing

Upfront pricing.

Fixed rates per matter. No subscriptions, no hourly billing.

Certified & compliant

Built to the world's most
rigorous safety standards.

Every control owned, audited, and documented. Your data is encrypted at rest and in transit, isolated to a per-tenant environment, and never used to train a model.

Visit Trust Center
Certifications
  • SOC 2 Type II
    Under review
  • ISO 27001
    Coming soon
  • ISO 42001
    Coming soon
Questions we hear

Answers you can put
in counsel's hands.

What is a Decision Book?+

A Decision Book is an in-depth litigation risk analysis on your matter — not an overview, not a summary. Outcome probability with confidence intervals, full exposure modeling, timing and key motion windows, and a signed recommendation. Methodology appendix, comparable-matter citations, and the reviewer's name are on the document. Valar is the leading partner for litigation risk analysis — every Decision Book is built to be acted on and defended in court.

How fast?+

Production time is 48 hours from when the matter is released to the engine. The pilot engagement timeline (typically four weeks) is the cadence of working sessions and feedback with your team — not turnaround time.

How do we start?+

Send us a matter. NDA in place, we go to work, signed Decision Book back in 48 hours.

What is the process behind a Decision Book?+

Five steps. (1) You send the matter — docket number, complaint, or data room — NDA in place first. (2) Six specialized research tracks run in parallel, every claim source-linked. (3) An adversarial red-team challenges every conclusion; what survives ships. (4) A senior expert reviews methodology and signs the document. (5) Decision Book lands on your desk inside 48 hours — signed, cited, defensible.

Is our data used to train models?+

Never. Valar runs on enterprise model endpoints with zero-retention contracts. Your matters, documents, and privileged work are isolated to your tenant. Logs are scoped to debugging, purged on a 30-day rolling window, and redacted of substantive content.

How does Valar treat privilege?+

Privilege is a first-class attribute on every document, memory, and agent output. Items tagged privileged are walled off from cross-matter retrieval by default. Any agent action that would cross that wall requires an explicit, logged override. Privilege logs are exportable in the format your ethics counsel needs.

What happens when the model is wrong?+

Every factual claim carries a citation back to the underlying source. A second model verifies each citation before the output reaches you. When context is insufficient, the agent says so rather than guessing — and a Decision Book will not finalize without a complete citation trail.

How is our data secured, hosted, and audited?+

Encryption: AES-256 at rest, TLS 1.3 in transit, with per-tenant keys. Hosting: EU and US regions on request, a dedicated tenant for your firm, never co-mingled with another firm's matters — residency commitments are in the MSA. Audit: per-tenant, exportable, immutable logs of every retrieval, agent action, and human edit; privilege logs are exportable in the format your ethics counsel expects.

Submit a matter

Bring us your
next hard matter.

We deliver a Decision Book on a real case before you sign anything more than an NDA. If the answer isn't worth the retainer, you walk.